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The Roles of Export of Coffee Commodity and Macroeconomics Factors on Unemployment in Indonesia

artikel ilmiah

Index Akreditasi Jurnal: Sinta 3-4

Tanggal Publikasi: 15 Des 2023

Abstrak

Coffee as the second largest agricultural commodity export has contributed to the economies
of various countries, including Indonesia. In addition to looking at the role of coffee commodity
exports, an analysis of macroeconomic factors' impact on Indonesia's unemployment rate is also
analyzed. Because it is known that the unemployment rate is not only caused by one sector but
some things influence it, including macroeconomic factors. This study analyzes the role of coffee
commodity exports and macroeconomic factors, including GDP, inflation, and interest rates, on
Indonesia's unemployment rate. The data used in this study is interpolated secondary data for the
period 2000 to 2021. The estimation method used in this study is Robust Least Square
(ROBUSTLS) which will then be estimated again using the Autoregressive Distributed Lag
(ARDL) method as a robustness test. The estimation results using the ROBUSTLS method prove
that coffee commodity exports and macroeconomic factors significantly affect Indonesia's
unemployment rate in aggregate. This form of influence is negative for coffee commodity exports
(ExpCof), gross domestic product (GDP), and interest rate (IR). While inflation (Inf) has a
positive impact on the unemployment rate (Ump). These findings are reinforced by the estimation
results using the ARDL method with the result that ExpCof, GDP, and Inf have a significant
relationship to Ump, while Inf is not significant as the findings from the estimation results using
the ROBUSTLS method.

Keyword

Export, Coffee commodity, Macroeconomics factors, Unemployment

Link Publikasi
https://jurnal.untan.ac.id/index.php/jsea/article/view/66113